Publications & Research Projects

Journal Articles

  • "Incremental Democracy: The Policy Effects of Partisan Control of State Government." Forthcoming. Journal of Politics. (with Devin Caughey and Yiqing Xu)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "Estimating Candidates' Political Orientation in a Polarized Congress." Forthcoming. Political Analysis. (with Chris Tausanovitch).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "The Dynamics of State Policy Liberalism, 1936-2014." American Journal of Political Science. October, 2016. 60(4): 899-913 (with Devin Caughey).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | Media coverage in The Boston Globe
  • "Mayoral Partisanship and Municipal Fiscal Policy" Journal of Politics. October, 2016. 78(4): 1124-1138 (with Justin de Benedictis-Kessner).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data
  • "Dynamic Estimation of Latent Public Opinion Using a Hierarchical Group-Level IRT Model." Political Analysis. Spring, 2015. 23(2). (with Devin Caughey).
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | R package
  • "Representation in Municipal Government." American Political Science Review. August, 2014. 108(3). (with Chris Tausanovitch)
    Abstract | Paper | Replication Data | Media coverage in The Economist, USA Today, C-Span's Washington Journal, ...
  • "Measuring Constituent Policy Preferences in Congress, State Legislatures and Cities". Journal of Politics. April 2013. 75(2). (with Chris Tausanovitch).
    Abstract | Paper | Online Appendix A | Online Appendix B | Policy Preference Estimates
  • "How Should We Measure District-Level Public Opinion on Individual Issues?" Journal of Politics. January 2012. 74(1). (with Jonathan Rodden).
    Abstract | Paper | Online Appendix | Replication Data
  • Book Chapters and Law Review Articles

  • "Latent Constructs in Public Opinion." Forthcoming. Oxford Handbook on Polling and Polling Methods. R. Michael Alvarez and Lonna Atkeson, ed. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
    Link to Book
  • "The Application of Big Data in Surveys to the Study of Elections, Public Opinion, and Representation." 2016. Computational Social Science: Discovery and Prediction. R. Michael Alvarez, ed. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    Link to Book | Chapter
  • "The Political Economy of Expropriation and Privatization of National Oil Companies." 2012. Oil and Governance: State-Owned Enterprises and the World Energy Supply. David G. Victor, David Hults, and Mark Thurber, eds. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    Abstract | Link
  • "Democratization and Countermajoritarian Institutions: The Role of Power and Constitutional Design In Self-Enforcing Democracy." 2012. Comparative Constitutional Law and Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. (with Susan Alberts and Barry R. Weingast).
    Abstract | Link
  • "Business as Usual? Analyzing the Doctrinal Development of Environmental Standing Doctrine since 1976." Summer 2011. Harvard Law and Policy Review. Volume 5.2 (with Gregory Wannier).
    Abstract | Paper
  • Papers Under Review

  • "Geography, Uncertainty, and Polarization." (with Nolan McCarty, Jonathan Rodden, Boris Shor, and Chris Tausanovitch)
    Invited to revise and resubmit at Political Science Research and Methods (PSRM)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "On the Representativeness of Primary Electorates" (with John Sides, Chris Tausanovitch, and Lynn Vavreck)
    Invited to revise and resubmit at the British Journal of Political Science (BJPS)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "Policy Preferences and Policy Change: Dynamic Responsiveness in the American States, 1936-2014" (with Devin Caughey)
    Winner of the award for best paper on State Politics & Policy at the 2014 American Political Science Conference.
    Abstract | Paper
  • "Does the Spatial Proximity Between Legislators and Voters Affect Voting Decisions in U.S. House Elections?" (with Chris Tausanovitch)
    Abstract | Paper
  • Ongoing and Early Stage Projects

  • "Responsiveness and Election Proximity in the United States Senate"
    Abstract | Paper
  • "Ideology in the European Mass Public: A Dynamic Perspective" (with Devin Caughey and Tom O'Grady)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "Polarization and Partisan Divergence in the American Public, 1946-2012" (with Devin Caughey and James Dunham)
    Abstract | Paper
  • "The Effect of Changing Temperatures on State-Level Opinion About Climate Change" (with Parrish Bergquist and Susan Solomon)
  • Dormant Projects

  • "How Should We Choose Survey Questions to Measure Citizens' Policy Preferences?" (with Chris Tausanovitch).
    Abstract | Paper